Real Madrid aim to keep perfect record against Almeria

Soccer Betting Lines

09/14/2007 - Madrid, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Defending champions Real Madrid are the only team in Spain to take a perfect 2-0 record into this weekend, and they will try to extend that mark to three straight against promoted club Almeria on Saturday at the Bernabeu.

A 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid on the season's opening day was followed by a 5-0 thrashing of quality side Villarreal last time out. With the runners-up in the second division from last season coming to town, Real should have no problem adding to their win total, but Almeria have also enjoyed a positive start to its campaign.

In just its third season ever in Spain's top flight, Almeria opened the season with a resounding 3-0 win at Deportivo, before dropping a close 2-1 contest on home soil against Valencia.

The visitors will be without top striker Alvaro Negredo, who signed from Real Madrid over the summer but has a clause in his contract that prevents him from playing at Bernabeu.

Negredo has scored a goal in both games this season, and his absence will limit the Almeria attack, especially going up against a strong defensive unit like the one that Real boasts.

Despite having a superior team, Madrid must guard against a letdown, which is something that the club struggled with last season, when promoted clubs Recreativo and Levante both left the Bernabeu with wins.

Midfielder Wesley Sneijder is unlikely to play on Saturday after picking up an ankle injury this past week while playing for the Netherlands. Fellow Dutchman Arjen Robben, who signed from Chelsea in August, is close to making his debut with Real, but is not likely to earn a start.

In other action on Saturday, Valencia hosts a Valladolid side that has taken four points from its first two games, and winless clubs Real Zaragoza and Athletic Bilbao get together at Estadio San Mames.

On Sunday, Real Betis and Deportivo, who have combined for three draws in four games, meet up at Estadio Riazor, Getafe and Espanyol both go looking for their first win against each other, Villarreal tries to rebound from a five- goal beating at the hands of Real Madrid when they take on Mallorca and unbeaten Real Murcia hosts Atletico Madrid. Levante is coming off of a 0-0 draw with Murcia and visits Racing, Sevilla won its lone contest in La Liga play this season, a 4-1 triumph over Getafe, and hosts Recreativo while Barcelona, who got its first win against Athletic Bilbao last time out, travels to Osasuna.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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