07/03/2009 - Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jake Fox drew a bases loaded walk, scoring Ryan Theriot in the bottom of the 10th inning, as the Chicago Cubs edged the Milwaukee Brewers, 2-1, in the second of a four-game set at Wrigley Field.
Theriot finished 2-for-5, while Mike Fontenot and Koyie Hill each had two hits apiece for the Cubs, who took the first two games of the series and have won four of five overall.
Carlos Zambrano went an effective seven innings, but did not factor in the decision. The burly right-hander allowed one run on five hits, struck out three and walked the same number of batters. He also had an RBI single. Kevin Gregg (3-2) was credited with the win after working two scoreless innings.
Corey Hart accounted for the lone Milwaukee run with a bases loaded walk. The Brewers have dropped three straight. Craig Counsell had a hit and scored in defeat.
Jeff Suppan pitched to a no-decision after going seven solid innings. He gave up a run on four hits, walked a pair and fanned four.
In the home 10th, Theriot reached with a one-out single off Mark DiFelice (4- 1), took second on a wild pitch and made it to third on Derrek Lee's fly out to right. DiFelice then walked Milton Bradley and Geovany Soto intentionally, bringing Fox to the plate. After fouling off three straight 3-2 count pitches, the rookie took one a bit inside for ball four and scoring Theriot to give the Cubs the win.
Milwaukee was able to scratch out a run to open the scoring in the top of the fourth. Counsell and Ryan Braun each singled, and Fielder was hit by a pitch to load the bases. After a brief mound conference, Zambrano settled down to get the next two hitters to pop out, but walked Hart to force in a run.
Then in the home half, Lee was plunked by Suppan with one away, prompting warnings from home-plate umpire Bill Welke. The Cubs evened things in the fifth when Zambrano laced a single to center that brought home Fox, who was hit by a pitch to start the inning.
In the top of the seventh, the Brewers mounted a threat, putting the first two runners on with nobody out. Zambrano then struck out Counsell and retired Braun, before Fielder grounded a base hit through the right side, but Suppan, who reached with a leadoff single was thrown out at the plate by Kosuke Fukudome to keep the game tied at 1-1.
The Brewers had a two-out threat in the top of the ninth, putting two on base, but Gregg got Braun to pop out to short. Then in the home half Sam Fuld lined into a double-play and the game went into extra innings.
Game Notes
Milwaukee has lost five of its eight meetings with the Cubs this season, but won in five of its nine visits to Wrigley a year ago...Both teams went 1-for-11 with runners in scoring position and stranded 11 runners apiece.
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Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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